Sunday, April 11, 2010

Wanted: Strong, Conservative Candidates for 2010

crossposted from Blog @ MoreWhat.com
The following story is the result of an initial look at some of the 2010 elections.
So a young man earns a bachelor’s degree from a university. Sometime thereafter he adds a masters in business administration as well as a law degree. After working in at least one administrative position he becomes the CEO of a firm with annual losses of $50 million. During his tenure at the helm the company realizes profits of $240 million. An impressive accomplishment no matter how you measure it.

This man later enters politics and runs for governor. He narrowly defeats the incumbent. It is said he refuses to enact an income or sales tax in his state. He cuts spending while maintaining ‘essential’ services. He is given credit for expanding access to healthcare, creating jobs, growing the state’s reserve funds as well as economic development and reducing crime.

In subsequent re-election bids this governor dramatically overwhelmed his opponents by margins of 3 to 1 and has enjoyed tremendous approval ratings for some time. In addition this governor’s state is reported to have won awards as the most livable state and the safest.
Does this sound like a conservative to you? On the downside this governor did not veto a bill allowing homosexual marriage even though it is reported he is personally opposed. He also is engaged in a regional global warming agenda and complying with the renewable energy act that may be ill=advised regardless of any good intentions.

If you haven’t guessed already this governor is a Democrat. Needless to say he endorsed Barack Obama for president. The humorous part, if there is one, his wife endorsed Hillary Clinton. And as you might expect as a pediatrician his wife is reported to be active in child obesity causes. So there is plenty of liberal philosophy lurking in the background yet this governor has some history not characteristic of liberals or Democrats, if there is a difference.
So what’s the point of all this? It should be no surprise to anyone that the 2010 elections have been characterized as the potential big comeback for conservatives. The GOP fancies themselves as the big winners given public anger at incumbents and in particular the Democratic party majority. It is not uncommon for the majority party to suffer losses in midterm elections. But what does the GOP offer to the growing trend of conservatism in the US?

Using the story provided here as an example it demonstrates what may be all too common in upcoming elections. In the story presented here, Governor John Lynch of New Hampshire may only be vulnerable this November based on polling data. Rasmussen Reports indicates Lynch has slipped from 50% in March to 47% now. His challengers at this point are in the mid 30’s in voter share. One conservative activist competing against Lynch for governor has a compelling bio and professional history. The others, one Democrat, one Republican are by no means political heavyweights either.

It would not necessarily be going out on a limb to suggest a victory for Lynch at this early stage of the game. The minority party, in many cases around the country including the US Congress, may not present strong conservative candidates in 2010. Like it or not those challenging liberal incumbents need a compelling resume’ to compete. After all, election outcomes are unfortunately driven by politics and that requires more than good intentions.
How many contests will the GOP concede for lack of a competitive conservative candidate or the willingness to spend what’s necessary to win?

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